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Detailed fleet planning, design and implementation, for a leading bus operator in the region

Situation
  • A bus operator is facing challenges in its fleet utilization in a business that is highly seasonal

  • Conducted detailed assessment of the current operational performance:

    • In depth understanding of revenues by LoB, and across industry operational metrics as Bus KM and Bus Hours

    • Patronage trends with detailed analysis and classification of load factors across routes

    • Mapping industry trends, growth rates, modal competition on key routes

  • Reviewed current fleet and trends including detailed analysis of:

    • Historical growth in fleet and average annual fleet purchases by LoB

    • Allocation of OTR bus fleet across LoB (by season)

    • Pool of buses available for relocation (e.g idle buses, duration)

    • Operational rules and its impact on allocation requirements for buses

    • Age distribution & depreciation norms under different performance scenarios, and implications on fleet progression

    • Fleet allocation on a route and service level as well as excess capacities

    • Summarized key findings and issues; load factors on routes, bus productivity, rotation, availability

  • Developed high level strategic options (e.g. route viability assessment), identified implications on fleet size; developed 5-year passenger and ops forecasts:

    • A combination of top-down-bottom-up approach that captured market, competition on route level and seasonality

    • Recommendations for fleet optimization to improve ops performance; cancellation of non performing trips and routes

Contribution
  • 5 year fleet plan; phased operations improvement; fleet purchase plan and closure of first year purchases

Results
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