Detailed fleet planning, design and implementation, for a leading bus operator in the region
Situation
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A bus operator is facing challenges in its fleet utilization in a business that is highly seasonal
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Conducted detailed assessment of the current operational performance:
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In depth understanding of revenues by LoB, and across industry operational metrics as Bus KM and Bus Hours
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Patronage trends with detailed analysis and classification of load factors across routes
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Mapping industry trends, growth rates, modal competition on key routes
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Reviewed current fleet and trends including detailed analysis of:
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Historical growth in fleet and average annual fleet purchases by LoB
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Allocation of OTR bus fleet across LoB (by season)
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Pool of buses available for relocation (e.g idle buses, duration)
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Operational rules and its impact on allocation requirements for buses
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Age distribution & depreciation norms under different performance scenarios, and implications on fleet progression
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Fleet allocation on a route and service level as well as excess capacities
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Summarized key findings and issues; load factors on routes, bus productivity, rotation, availability
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Developed high level strategic options (e.g. route viability assessment), identified implications on fleet size; developed 5-year passenger and ops forecasts:
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A combination of top-down-bottom-up approach that captured market, competition on route level and seasonality
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Recommendations for fleet optimization to improve ops performance; cancellation of non performing trips and routes
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Contribution
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5 year fleet plan; phased operations improvement; fleet purchase plan and closure of first year purchases